Oil Marketers Project Price Crash As Tinubu Order Crude Oil Sale In Naira

The approval given to Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) by President Bola Tinubu for the sale of crude oil to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery in naira is going to force the prices of domestically refined petroleum products to crash, oil marketers, refiners, and experts stated on Monday.

Operators in the downstream oil sector commended the move by the President, stating that it would boost the outputs of domestic refineries, shore up the country’s foreign exchange reserves, and strengthen the naira.

They also hailed the media for always putting the matter on the front burner, stressing that Nigerian refineries should not continue to struggle to get the United States dollar to procure a commodity that is produced in-country.

TrackNews Media had earlier reported that President Tinubu directed the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited to sell crude to the Dangote refinery and other upcoming refineries in naira.

The Special Adviser to the President on Information and Publicity, Bayo Onanuga, who made the announcement in a post via his official X handle said the Federal Executive Council (FEC) adopted the move on Monday to ensure the stability of the pump price of refined fuel and the dollar-naira exchange rate.

Dangote refinery has been embroiled in a crude oil supply crisis with the International Oil Companies operating in Nigeria. Later, it had some confrontations with the country’s midstream/downstream regulator.

The 650,000 barrels per day refinery got crude oil earlier this year from NNPC and a few IOCs but raised an alarm later that IOCs were not willing to supply crude to the plant, as it had to switch to the massive importation of crude oil.

Dangote refinery currently requires about 15 cargoes of crude oil at about $13.5bn yearly. NNPC has committed to supply four. The latest order by the President would make the supply of this product to Dangote and other domestic refineries to be done in naira and not dollars.

Onanuga also revealed that the Federal Executive Council approved that the 450,000 barrels meant for domestic consumption be offered in naira to Nigerian refineries, using the Dangote refinery as a pilot.

In his statement on X, titled, “President Tinubu offers a lifeline to Dangote refinery, NNPC to sell crude to it in naira, the presidential media aide said, “To ensure the stability of the pump price of refined fuel and the dollar-naira exchange rate, the Federal Executive Council today adopted a proposal by President Tinubu to sell crude to Dangote refinery and other upcoming refineries in naira.

“Dangote refinery at the moment requires 15 cargoes of crude at $13.5bn yearly. NNPC has committed to supply four. But the FEC has approved that the 450,000 barrels meant for domestic consumption be offered in naira to Nigerian refineries, using the Dangote refinery as a pilot. The exchange rate will be fixed for the duration of this transaction.

“Afreximbank and other settlement banks in Nigeria will facilitate the trade between Dangote and NNPC Limited. The game-changing intervention will eliminate the need for international letters of credit. It will also save the country billions of dollars used in importing refined fuel.”

Also speaking on the development, the President’s Special Adviser on Revenue, Mr Zacch Adedeji, who also serves as Chairman of the Federal Inland Revenue Service, said Monday’s move mitigates Nigeria’s heavy reliance on foreign exchange for crude oil imports, accounting for roughly 30 to 40 per cent of its forex expenditure.

The revenue chief said that by denominating crude oil transactions in naira, the government expects to significantly lighten its forex burden, with estimated annual savings of $7.3bn. It is also expected to reduce monthly forex expenditure on petroleum products to $50m from approximately $660m.

“Monthly, we spend roughly $660m in these exercises, and if you analyse that, that will give us $7.92bn savings annually,” he stated.

The presidential aide further explained, “With this approval today; this has reduced by a minimum of 90 per cent because what we have today will mean transaction is now done in our local currency, not only with Dangote refinery, but to all local refineries for all our local consumptions and this will stabilise the pump price.”

He said the new move will ease economic predictability as forex fluctuations are expected to reduce.

Adedeji enumerated the benefits of the new regime, including “The reduction in foreign exchange pressure, as the existing process that we have today utilises $660m per month, a total of $7.92bn annually.

“With the new approval that we have, this will reduce to a maximum of $50m per month which is annualised to be only $600m. This is a total reduction of 94 per cent and saving us $7.32bn.

“This will also reduce finance costs, which today stand at $79m when you consider the opening letter of credit between those local refineries and what happens.”